Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 76.99%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 8.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.91%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for an Al Raed win it was 2-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al Raed	Draw	Al-Nassr
8.71% ( 0.05)	14.29% ( -0.04)	76.99% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.05% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.17% (

0.4)

32.83% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.47% (

0.46)

54.52% (

-0.46)

Al Raed Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.88% (

0.41)

45.12% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.97% (

0.33)

81.03% (

-0.33)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.03% (

0.09)

6.96% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.48% (

0.23)

25.52% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Al Raed 8.71%

Al-Nassr 76.99%

Draw 14.29%

Al Raed	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.63% Total : 8.71%	1-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.95% Total : 14.29%	0-2 @ 11.15% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 9.91% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 7.88% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 5.25% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 0-6 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.5% Total : 76.99%