Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Riyadh win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Riyadh win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.