Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sport City Stadium

Al Raed
0 - 4
Al-Hilal


Gonzalez (45+1'), Al Fahad (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mitrovic (42'), Al-Dawsari (56' pen., 69'), Alhamddan (89')
Milinkovic-Savic (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Raed and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Raed

All competitions
Last Game: Abha 1-0 Al Raed
Saturday, August 19 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-1 Al Fayha
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 11.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al RaedDrawAl-Hilal
11.28% (0.071 0.07)17.97% (0.023999999999997 0.02)70.74% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 47.45% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.31% (0.085000000000001 0.09)42.69% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91% (0.083999999999996 0.08)65.09% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.2% (0.181 0.18)46.79% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.67% (0.14 0.14)82.33% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)10.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.87% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Al Raed 11.28%
    Al-Hilal 70.72%
    Draw 17.97%
Al RaedDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 3.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 3.25% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.46% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 11.28%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.61% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.97%
0-2 @ 12.51% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 11.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.51% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 9.28% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.05% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 5.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.92% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.017 0.02)
0-5 @ 2.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 70.72%

How you voted: Al Raed vs Al-Hilal

Al Raed
15.8%
Draw
5.3%
Al-Hilal
78.9%
19