Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.