Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2023 at 1pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Damac
4 - 1
Al Hazem

Ceesay (16'), N'Koudou (42'), Zain (46'), Viana (63' og.)
Hamed (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Damac and Al Hazem.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Khaleej 0-2 Damac
Saturday, September 30 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Hazem 1-3 Al-Taawoun
Friday, September 29 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Damac win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Damac win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Damac would win this match.

Result
DamacDrawAl Hazem
41.52% (0.423 0.42)27.19% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)31.29% (-0.385 -0.38)
Both teams to score 49.38% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.13% (0.018000000000001 0.02)55.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.01% (0.016000000000002 0.02)76.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Damac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (0.23399999999999 0.23)26.51% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (0.309 0.31)61.71% (-0.305 -0.31)
Al Hazem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)32.8% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63% (-0.296 -0.3)69.36% (0.301 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Damac 41.51%
    Al Hazem 31.29%
    Draw 27.18%
DamacDrawAl Hazem
1-0 @ 11.54% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.66% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.51%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.29%