Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Khalid Bin Mohammed Stadium

Al Shabab
4 - 1
Al Hazem

Carrasco (45'), Al-Sagour (45+2'), Banega (49' pen., 90+7')
Saiss (69'), Carlos (75'), Cuellar (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Toze (66')
Abusabaan (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al Hazem, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fayha 0-1 Al Shabab
Friday, September 15 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Hazem 1-1 Al Tai
Saturday, September 16 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Shabab would win this match.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl Hazem
51.73% (0.048999999999999 0.05)25.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.08% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.91% (0.013999999999996 0.01)53.09% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.33% (0.013000000000002 0.01)74.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.027000000000001 0.03)20.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (0.040000000000006 0.04)53.03% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Al Hazem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.99% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)38.02% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.22% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)74.78% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 51.72%
    Al Hazem 23.08%
    Draw 25.19%
Al ShababDrawAl Hazem
1-0 @ 12.35%
2-0 @ 9.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 51.72%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.08%

How you voted: Al Shabab vs Al Hazem

Al Shabab
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Al Hazem
0.0%
7
rhs 2.0


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