Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Shabab would win this match.