Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 7

Sep 22, 2023 at 7pm UK

Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
4 - 3
Al-Ahli

Ronaldo (4', 52'), Talisca (17', 45+6')
Mane (34'), Talisca (90+6')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Kessie (30'), Mahrez (50' pen.), Albirakan (87')
Majrashi (45'), Yaslam (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions

Saudi Pro League

Last Game: Persepolis 0-2 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in AFC Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Al-Ahli

All competitions

Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-2 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Al-Ahli
45.05% ( 0.66)	25.31% ( -0.28)	29.63% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 54.43% (

0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.01% (

0.99)

48.99% (

-0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.93% (

0.89)

71.07% (

-0.89)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.26% (

0.73)

21.74% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.09% (

1.1)

54.91% (

-1.09)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.55% (

0.23)

30.45% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.34% (

0.28)

66.66% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 45.05%

Al-Ahli 29.63%

Draw 25.31%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Al-Ahli
1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.05%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.63%