/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fnaslog.png)
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
4'
-
Anderson Talisca
17'
-
Sadio Mane
34'
-
Anderson Talisca
45'+6'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
52'
-
Anderson Talisca
90'+6'
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Franck Kessie
30'
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Ali Majrashi
45'
-
Riyad Mahrez
50'
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Firas Albirakan
87'
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Saad Yaslam
90'+3'
Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F38%2Fcristiano-ronaldo.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
Result
Al-Nassr
45.05%
▲
(+0.67)
Draw
25.31%
▼
(-0.28)
Al-Ahli
29.63%
▼
(-0.39)
Both Teams to Score:
54.43%
▲
(+0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.01%
▲
(+1.00)
Under 2.5
48.99%
▼
(-0.99)
Over 3.5
28.93%
▲
(+0.89)
Under 3.5
71.07%
▼
(-0.89)
Over 4.5
13.94%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 4.5
86.06%
▼
(-0.60)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5
78.26%
▲
(+0.73)
Under 0.5
21.74%
▼
(-0.73)
Over 1.5
45.09%
▲
(+1.10)
Under 1.5
54.91%
▼
(-1.10)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5
69.55%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 0.5
30.45%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 1.5
33.34%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 1.5
66.66%
▼
(-0.28)
Score analysis
Al-Nassr
45.05%
Draw
25.31%
Al-Ahli
29.63%
Al-Nassr
1-0
@
10.1%
▼
(-0.19)
2-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-98.65)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.05%
2-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-98.65)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.05%
Draw
1-1
@
12.01%
▼
(-0.15)
0-0 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.28)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.31%
0-0 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.28)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.31%
Al-Ahli
0-1
@
7.87%
▼
(-0.28)
1-2 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.63%
1-2 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.63%