Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for an Al-Taawoun win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-Ahli	Draw	Al-Taawoun
52.42% ( -0.06)	24.85% ( 0.09)	22.72% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.82% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.87% (

-0.37)

52.13% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.15% (

-0.32)

73.85% (

0.32)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.13% (

-0.17)

19.87% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.03% (

-0.27)

51.97% (

0.27)

Al-Taawoun Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.18% (

-0.23)

37.82% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.4% (

-0.22)

74.59% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Al-Ahli 52.42%

Al-Taawoun 22.72%

Draw 24.85%

Al-Ahli	Draw	Al-Taawoun
1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 52.42%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.85%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 22.72%