Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Istiqlol Dushanbe
56.03% ( -0)	23% ( -0)	20.98% ( -0)

Both teams to score 53.23% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.54% (

-0)

46.46% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.26% (

-0)

68.74% (

-0)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.6% (

-0)

16.4% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.95% (

-0)

46.05% (

-0)

Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.67% (

-0)

36.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.89% (

-0)

73.11%

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 56.03%

Istiqlol Dushanbe 20.98%

Draw 22.99%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Istiqlol Dushanbe
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.74% 3-1 @ 5.94% 3-0 @ 5.87% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.22% Total : 56.03%	1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.99%	0-1 @ 6.03% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.79% Total : 20.98%