Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 73.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Al Tai had a probability of 9.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.15%) and 0-3 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for an Al Tai win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.