Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.56%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 9.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for an Abha win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.