Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2023 at 4pm UK
Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
2 - 2
Abha

Otavio (3'), Talisca (28')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bguir (36' pen.), Toko Ekambi (90+2')
Noguera (53'), Al Qumayzi (73'), Al-Jumayah (81'), Raji Al Kunaydiri (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Abha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 3-1 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Monday, October 2 at 7pm in AFC Champions League

Abha

All competitions
Last Game: Abha 0-1 Al Riyadh
Saturday, September 30 at 1pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.56%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 9.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for an Abha win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAbha
75.56% (0.24000000000001 0.24)15.08% (-0.162 -0.16)9.36% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.298 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.35% (0.547 0.55)34.65% (-0.546 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.4% (0.609 0.61)56.6% (-0.608 -0.61)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.33% (0.17700000000001 0.18)7.67% (-0.1761 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.64% (0.455 0.45)27.35% (-0.454 -0.45)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.93% (0.21899999999999 0.22)45.07% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.01% (0.177 0.18)80.99% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 75.55%
    Abha 9.36%
    Draw 15.08%
Al-NassrDrawAbha
2-0 @ 11.39% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 9.76% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 7.78% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 6.26% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 4.99% (0.07 0.07)
5-0 @ 3.22% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.035 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.56% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.04 0.04)
6-0 @ 1.38% (0.035 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.1% (0.035 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.02% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 75.55%
1-1 @ 7.07% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.46% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 15.08%
1-2 @ 2.82% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 2.75% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 9.36%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Abha

Al-Nassr
90.0%
Draw
6.7%
Abha
3.3%
30