Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 7.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.75%) and 0-3 (11.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-0 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.