Saudi Pro League Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 4.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah)
  • Ricardo Ryller 20' yellowcard
  • Husein Al-Shuwaish 66' goal
  • Abdulrahman Al-Safari 89' yellowcard
  • goal Anderson Talisca 50'
  • yellowcard Abdulelah Al Amri 53'
  • goal Anderson Talisca 61'
  • goal Otavio 74'

Al Fayha vs Al-Nassr - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fayha

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 20, 2023 4.00pm
Al Okhdood 1 - 2 Al Fayha
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Fashion Sakala

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 4.00pm
Al-Nassr 2 - 1 Damac
Goals scored
100
Top scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 7.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.75%) and 0-3 (11.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-0 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result

Al Fayha 7.9% (-0.49)
Draw 16.7% (-0.54)
Al-Nassr 75.4% (+1.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.31% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.58% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 47.42% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 30.36% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 69.63% (-0.63)
Over 4.5 14.92% (+0.43)
Under 4.5 85.07% (-0.44)

Al Fayha Goals

Over 0.5 42.98% (-0.75)
Under 0.5 57.01% (+0.75)
Over 1.5 10.95% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 89.05% (+0.43)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5 89.12% (+0.46)
Under 0.5 10.88% (-0.46)
Over 1.5 64.99% (+1.01)
Under 1.5 35.01% (-1.01)

Score analysis

Al Fayha 7.9%
Draw 16.7%
Al-Nassr 75.38%
Al Fayha
1-0 @ 3.49% (-0.19)
2-1 @ 2.17% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 7.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.73% (-0.26)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 2.41% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 16.7%
Al-Nassr
0-2 @ 15.26% (+0.16)
0-1 @ 13.75% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 11.28% (+0.31)
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 6.34% (+0.04)
0-4 @ 6.26% (+0.29)
1-4 @ 3.52% (+0.09)
0-5 @ 2.78% (+0.18)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.04)
1-5 @ 1.56% (+0.07)
0-6 @ 1.03% (-93.38)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 75.38%