Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 at 4pm UK
Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah)
Al-Nassr

Al Fayha
1 - 3
Al-Nassr

Al-Shuwaish (66')
Ryller (20'), Al-Safari (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Talisca (50', 61'), Otavio (74')
Al Amri (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Fayha and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Ain 4-1 Al Fayha
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Duhail
Tuesday, October 24 at 7pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 7.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.75%) and 0-3 (11.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-0 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al FayhaDrawAl-Nassr
7.9% (-0.4841 -0.48)16.7% (-0.536 -0.54)75.4% (1.017 1.02)
Both teams to score 38.31% (-0.461 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (0.672 0.67)47.42% (-0.676 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (0.62 0.62)69.63% (-0.624 -0.62)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.98% (-0.743 -0.74)57.01% (0.741 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.95% (-0.422 -0.42)89.05% (0.42100000000001 0.42)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.12% (0.45599999999999 0.46)10.88% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.99% (1.002 1)35.01% (-1.005 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Fayha 7.9%
    Al-Nassr 75.38%
    Draw 16.7%
Al FayhaDrawAl-Nassr
1-0 @ 3.49% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-1 @ 2.17% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 0.98% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 7.9%
1-1 @ 7.73% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-2 @ 2.41% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 16.7%
0-2 @ 15.26% (0.15 0.15)
0-1 @ 13.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 11.28% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.34% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 6.26% (0.286 0.29)
1-4 @ 3.52% (0.083 0.08)
0-5 @ 2.78% (0.176 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.56% (0.065 0.07)
0-6 @ 1.03% (0.083 0.08)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 75.38%

How you voted: Al Fayha vs Al-Nassr

Al Fayha
13.8%
Draw
13.8%
Al-Nassr
72.4%
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