Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fayha win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fayha win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fayha would win this match.