AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Asgabat Stadiony

Ahal
1 - 0
Al Fayha

Tagayew (51')
Tagayew (52'), Meredov (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Al-Rashidi (40')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ahal and Al Fayha.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ahal

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Last Game: Ahal 4-2 Al Gharafa
Tuesday, April 26 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Al Fayha

All competitions
Last Game: Al Fayha 0-1 Al Shabab
Friday, September 15 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fayha win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Fayha win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for an Ahal win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
AhalDrawAl Fayha
24.64% (0.021000000000001 0.02)25.44%49.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.16% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.26% (0.027999999999999 0.03)52.74% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63% (0.024000000000001 0.02)74.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Ahal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (0.033999999999999 0.03)36.4% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.82% (0.035 0.04)73.18% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.15% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ahal 24.64%
    Al Fayha 49.91%
    Draw 25.44%
AhalDrawAl Fayha
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 6.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.06% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 24.64%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 11.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 9.29% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 49.91%