Al Gharafa

2 - 0

Ahal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Ahal had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Ahal win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.