Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.