Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 6
Sep 15, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Al-Hilal
6 - 1
Al Riyadh

Mitrovic (30' pen.), Al-Shahrani (45+4'), Al-Dawsari (68'), Malcom (83'), Al-Dawsari (87' pen., 90+5')
Abdul Hamid (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Al-Zaqaan (90+6')
Toure (21'), N'Dong (34'), Musona (40'), Juanmi (45+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al Riyadh, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 3-4 Al-Hilal
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Riyadh

All competitions
Last Game: Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Okhdood
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Riyadh
55.68% (-0.251 -0.25)23.43% (0.123 0.12)20.88% (0.13 0.13)
Both teams to score 51.71% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (-0.35 -0.35)48.4% (0.352 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (-0.322 -0.32)70.54% (0.32300000000001 0.32)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (-0.217 -0.22)17.22% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.49% (-0.384 -0.38)47.51% (0.38500000000001 0.39)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)37.53% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)74.31% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 55.68%
    Al Riyadh 20.88%
    Draw 23.43%
Al-HilalDrawAl Riyadh
1-0 @ 11.36% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 10% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 55.68%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 6.33% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 20.88%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Riyadh

Al-Hilal
92.7%
Draw
4.9%
Al Riyadh
2.4%
41