Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.