Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 5
Sep 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
3 - 4
Al-Hilal

Romarinho (16'), Benzema (38'), Hamdallah (45+8')
Hawsawi (41'), Bamsaud (63'), Al-Amri (90+12')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Mitrovic (20', 60', 65' pen.), Al-Dawsari (71')
Albulayhi (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 0-3 Al Ittihad
Monday, August 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al Ettifaq
Monday, August 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl-Hilal
29.26% (-0.853 -0.85)27.39% (0.044999999999998 0.04)43.34% (0.808 0.81)
Both teams to score 47.88% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.64% (-0.486 -0.49)57.35% (0.485 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.82% (-0.389 -0.39)78.18% (0.387 0.39)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.91% (-0.904 -0.9)35.08% (0.90300000000001 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.17% (-0.96 -0.96)71.83% (0.958 0.96)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (0.19500000000001 0.2)26.24% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (0.264 0.26)61.34% (-0.265 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 29.26%
    Al-Hilal 43.33%
    Draw 27.39%
Al IttihadDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 29.26%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 9.21% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 12.31% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.24% (0.243 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.33%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al-Hilal

Al Ittihad
48.6%
Draw
20.0%
Al-Hilal
31.4%
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