Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Al-Duhail had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Al-Duhail win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Al-Duhail
49.02% ( -0.35)	22.58% ( 0.06)	28.39% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 63.04% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.7% (

-0.07)

37.29% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.49% (

-0.08)

59.5% (

0.07)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.45% (

-0.15)

15.54% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.52% (

-0.28)

44.48% (

0.27)

Al-Duhail Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64% (

0.15)

25.36% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.85% (

0.21)

60.15% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 49.02%

Al-Duhail 28.39%

Draw 22.58%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Al-Duhail
2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.9% Total : 49.02%	1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.58%	1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 28.39%