Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Al-Duhail had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Al-Duhail win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.