AFC Champions League
Oct 24, 2023 7.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 0
FT Mrsool Park
  • Anderson Talisca 25' goal
  • Sadio Mane 56' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 61' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 81' goal
  • goal Ismaeel Mohammad 63'
  • goal Almoez Ali 67'
  • goal Michael Olunga 85'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Musa 87'
  • yellowcard Philippe Coutinho 87'

Al-Nassr vs Al-Duhail - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Oct 2, 2023 7.00pm
Al-Nassr 3 - 1 Istiqlol Dushanbe

Al-Duhail

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Oct 2, 2023 7.00pm
Al-Duhail 0 - 1 Persepolis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Al-Duhail had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Al-Duhail win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result

Al-Nassr 49.02% (-0.35)
Draw 22.58% (+0.06)
Al-Duhail 28.39% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.04% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.7% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 37.29% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 40.49% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 59.5% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 22.54% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 77.46% (+0.06)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5 84.45% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 15.54% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 55.52% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 44.48% (+0.28)

Al-Duhail Goals

Over 0.5 74.64% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 25.36% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 39.85% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 60.15% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Al-Nassr 49.02%
Draw 22.58%
Al-Duhail 28.39%
Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 49.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.06% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.43% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.94% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.82% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.58%
Al-Duhail
1-2 @ 6.91% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.41% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.71% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.16% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.94% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-98.80)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 28.39%