Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Al Mu'aidar had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for an Al Mu'aidar win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.