Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.37%) and 0-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for an Al Gharafa win it was 2-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.