Qatar Stars League Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2023 4.15pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Al Thumama Stadium
  • Ahmad Al Sebai 4' yellowcard
  • Nebojsa Jovovic 5' yellowcard
  • Naim Sliti 14' goal
  • Jassem Mohammed Al Sharshani 21' yellowcard
  • Ali Qadry 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Idrissa Doumbia 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Ahmed Alganehi 27'
  • yellowcard Nasser Al-Ahrak 38'
  • goal Yacine Brahimi 61'
  • goal Yacine Brahimi 72'
  • yellowcard Yacine Brahimi 90'+6'
  • goal Farid Boulaya 90'+11'

Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahli

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Aug 26, 2023 6.30pm
Al-Sadd 4 - 2 Al Ahli
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Naim Sliti

Al Gharafa

All competitions
Qatar Stars League
Last game
Aug 26, 2023 4.30pm
Al Gharafa 2 - 0 Al Markhiya
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Yacine Brahimi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 53.14%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.

Result

Al Ahli 24.37% (+0.80)
Draw 22.49% (+0.21)
Al Gharafa 53.14% (-1.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.44% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.67% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 40.33% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 37.3% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 62.7% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 20.01% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 79.99% (+0.11)

Al Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 70.12% (+0.58)
Under 0.5 29.88% (-0.58)
Over 1.5 34.02% (+0.69)
Under 1.5 65.98% (-0.69)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5 84.78% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 15.22% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 56.12% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 43.88% (+0.72)

Score analysis

Al Ahli 24.37%
Draw 22.48%
Al Gharafa 53.14%
Al Ahli
2-1 @ 6.25% (+0.16)
1-0 @ 5.5% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 3.32% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 2.52% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.37% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.34% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 24.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.34% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.88% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.55% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.49% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.48%
Al Gharafa
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 8.06% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 6.11% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 5.06% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 3.69% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.87% (-0.10)
0-4 @ 2.38% (-0.12)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.03)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 53.14%