Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2023 at 4.15pm UK
Al Thumama Stadium

Al Ahli
1 - 4
Al Gharafa

Sliti (14')
Al Sebai (4'), Jovovic (5'), Mohammed Al Sharshani (21'), Doumbia (90+6'), Qadry (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alganehi (27'), Brahimi (61', 72'), Boulaya (90+11' pen.)
Al-Ahrak (38'), Brahimi (90+6')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Ahli and Al Gharafa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Sadd 4-2 Al Ahli
Saturday, August 26 at 6.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Al Gharafa

All competitions
Last Game: Al Gharafa 2-0 Al Markhiya
Saturday, August 26 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 53.14%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.

Result
Al AhliDrawAl Gharafa
24.37% (0.791 0.79)22.49% (0.207 0.21)53.14% (-0.996 -1)
Both teams to score 59.44% (0.219 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-0.134 -0.13)40.33% (0.135 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.3% (-0.139 -0.14)62.7% (0.141 0.14)
Al Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.571 0.57)29.88% (-0.57 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.685 0.69)65.98% (-0.684 -0.68)
Al Gharafa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (-0.379 -0.38)15.22% (0.38 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.12% (-0.717 -0.72)43.88% (0.718 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Al Ahli 24.37%
    Al Gharafa 53.14%
    Draw 22.48%
Al AhliDrawAl Gharafa
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.152 0.15)
1-0 @ 5.5% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 3.32% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.52% (0.099 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 24.37%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.066 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.06% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-3 @ 6.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 5.06% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.69% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.87% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-4 @ 2.38% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 53.14%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!