Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 72.11%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Al Ahli had a probability of 11.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for an Al Ahli win it was 1-2 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.