Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard

Al Markhiya
1 - 2
Al-Duhail

Fettouhi (24')
Rochinha (12'), Said Al Muhannadi (39'), Aziz Mitwali (43')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Olunga (16' pen.), Coutinho (45+4')
Olunga (42'), Ayman Hafez (75')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Al Markhiya and Al-Duhail.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Markhiya 0-3 Al Wakrah
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al Gharafa 3-2 Al-Duhail
Sunday, September 24 at 4pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Al Markhiya had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.27%) and 0-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for an Al Markhiya win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Duhail in this match.

Result
Al MarkhiyaDrawAl-Duhail
18.79% (1.04 1.04)19.51% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)61.7% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)
Both teams to score 61.73% (2.327 2.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.43% (2.066 2.07)33.57% (-2.062 -2.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.63% (2.318 2.32)55.38% (-2.314 -2.31)
Al Markhiya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (2.336 2.34)31% (-2.332 -2.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (2.648 2.65)67.31% (-2.644 -2.64)
Al-Duhail Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.46% (0.355 0.36)10.54% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.75% (0.79300000000001 0.79)34.26% (-0.78899999999999 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    Al Markhiya 18.79%
    Al-Duhail 61.7%
    Draw 19.52%
Al MarkhiyaDrawAl-Duhail
2-1 @ 5.04% (0.184 0.18)
1-0 @ 3.83% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-0 @ 2.24% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 1.97% (0.189 0.19)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 18.79%
1-1 @ 8.61% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.287 0.29)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.363 -0.36)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 19.52%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 8.27% (-0.653 -0.65)
0-1 @ 7.35% (-0.699 -0.7)
1-3 @ 7.27% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.2% (-0.391 -0.39)
2-3 @ 4.25% (0.274 0.27)
1-4 @ 4.09% (0.072 0.07)
0-4 @ 3.49% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-4 @ 2.39% (0.187 0.19)
1-5 @ 1.84% (0.059 0.06)
0-5 @ 1.57% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.08% (0.099 0.1)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 61.7%