Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for an Al Raed win it was 2-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.