Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.