Saudi Pro League Gameweek 8
Sep 29, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
  • Ali Albulayhi 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 68' goal
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 76' goal
  • yellowcard Fahad Al-Muwallad 87'

Al-Hilal vs Al Shabab - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 4.00pm
Damac 1 - 1 Al-Hilal
Goals scored
101
Top scorer
Aleksandar Mitrovic

Al Shabab

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 7.00pm
Al Shabab 4 - 1 Al Hazem
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Yannick Carrasco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 61.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for an Al Shabab win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.

Result

Al-Hilal 61.06% (-0.20)
Draw 20.33% (+0.08)
Al Shabab 18.6% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.29% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.15% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 37.85% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 39.89% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 60.1% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 22.06% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 77.94% (+0.12)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5 88% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 11.99% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 62.57% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 37.43% (+0.21)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 0.5 66.23% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 33.76% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 29.57% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.42% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Al-Hilal 61.06%
Draw 20.33%
Al Shabab 18.6%
Al-Hilal
2-1 @ 9.89% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.59% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.44% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.71% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.41% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 61.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.32% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.05% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.33%
Al Shabab
1-2 @ 5.06% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 4.4% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.39% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 18.6%