Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2023 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Shabab Al Ahli Stadium
  • Carlos 14' goal
  • Gustavo Cuellar 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ever Banega 61' yellowcard
  • Husain Al-Monassar 73' yellowcard
  • Fahad Al-Muwallad 83' yellowcard
  • Romain Saiss 89' yellowcard

Al Shabab vs Al Ittihad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shabab

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 4.00pm
Abha 2 - 1 Al Shabab
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Yannick Carrasco

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 26, 2023 7.00pm
Al Ittihad 2 - 2 Al Hazem
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Abderrazak Hamdallah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Al Shabab 30.5% (+0.49)
Draw 26.27% (+0.33)
Al Ittihad 43.23% (-0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.86% (-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.45% (-1.09)
Under 2.5 52.54% (+1.09)
Over 3.5 25.79% (-0.95)
Under 3.5 74.2% (+0.95)
Over 4.5 11.87% (-0.61)
Under 4.5 88.13% (+0.61)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 0.5 68.35% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 31.65% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 31.94% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 68.06% (+0.25)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5 75.87% (-0.87)
Under 0.5 24.13% (+0.88)
Over 1.5 41.56% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 58.44% (+1.26)

Score analysis

Al Shabab 30.5%
Draw 26.26%
Al Ittihad 43.22%
Al Shabab
1-0 @ 8.79% (+0.33)
2-1 @ 7.19% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.05% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.94% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 30.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.49% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 7.64% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.10)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.26%
Al Ittihad
0-1 @ 10.85% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 7.72% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.12)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.10)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.22%