Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.