Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Shabab Al Ahli Stadium

Al Shabab
1 - 0
Al Ittihad

Carlos (14')
Cuellar (45+2'), Banega (61'), Al-Monassar (73'), Al-Muwallad (83'), Saiss (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Abha 2-1 Al Shabab
Saturday, October 28 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl Ittihad
30.5% (0.49 0.49)26.27% (0.32 0.32)43.23% (-0.808 -0.81)
Both teams to score 51.86% (-0.755 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.45% (-1.089 -1.09)52.54% (1.089 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.79% (-0.941 -0.94)74.2% (0.94199999999999 0.94)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (-0.209 -0.21)31.65% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (-0.242 -0.24)68.06% (0.242 0.24)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (-0.869 -0.87)24.13% (0.871 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (-1.25 -1.25)58.44% (1.251 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 30.5%
    Al Ittihad 43.22%
    Draw 26.26%
Al ShababDrawAl Ittihad
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.324 0.32)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 30.5%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.324 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 7.72% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.22%

How you voted: Al Shabab vs Al Ittihad

Al Shabab
5.3%
Draw
10.5%
Al Ittihad
84.2%
19