Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Al Quwa Al Jawiya had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al Ittihad in this match.