AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium

Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 - 2
Sepahan

Jasim Elaibi Al Tameemi (26', 88')
Bayesh (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Daneshgar (30'), Ghorbani (67')
Barbosa Nascimento Junior (90')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Sepahan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

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Last Game: Mumbai City 1-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Tuesday, April 26 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
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Sepahan

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Last Game: Al-Duhail 5-2 Sepahan
Tuesday, April 26 at 6.15pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win with a probability of 45.92%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 25.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Sepahan win it was 0-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Al Quwa Al JawiyaDrawSepahan
45.92% (1.148 1.15)29.05% (0.0040000000000013 0)25.03% (-1.156 -1.16)
Both teams to score 40.94% (-0.809 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.22% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)64.78% (0.586 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.26% (-0.419 -0.42)83.74% (0.413 0.41)
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.6% (0.321 0.32)28.4% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.85% (0.40199999999999 0.4)64.15% (-0.40700000000001 -0.41)
Sepahan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.17% (-1.396 -1.4)42.83% (1.391 1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.85% (-1.206 -1.21)79.14% (1.201 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Al Quwa Al Jawiya 45.92%
    Sepahan 25.03%
    Draw 29.04%
Al Quwa Al JawiyaDrawSepahan
1-0 @ 15.31% (0.47 0.47)
2-0 @ 9.64% (0.376 0.38)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 45.92%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 12.16% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.04%
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 25.03%