AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2022 at 6.15pm UK
Naghsh-e Jahan Stadium

Sepahan
2 - 1
Pakhtakor

Shahbazzadeh (76', 90+3')
Ahmadzadeh (40'), Karimi (59'), Moghanlou (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alidjanov (79')
Sabirkhodjaev (44'), Khamrobekov (74'), Azamov (83')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Sepahan and Pakhtakor Tashkent.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Al-Duhail 5-2 Sepahan
Tuesday, April 26 at 6.15pm in AFC Champions League
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Last Game: Pakhtakor 5-4 Al-Taawoun
Tuesday, April 26 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sepahan win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sepahan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sepahan in this match.

Result
SepahanDrawPakhtakor Tashkent
40.89%24.65%34.46%
Both teams to score 58.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.66%44.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29%66.71%
Sepahan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3%21.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15%54.85%
Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93%25.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24%59.76%
Score Analysis
    Sepahan 40.89%
    Pakhtakor Tashkent 34.46%
    Draw 24.65%
SepahanDrawPakhtakor Tashkent
2-1 @ 8.79%
1-0 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40.89%
1-1 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-1 @ 7.53%
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 3.67%
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.46%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2022 6.15pm
Pakhtakor
1-3
Sepahan
Ceran (28')
Hadzhiev (64')
Moghanlou (49', 55'), Mohammadreza (70')
Moghanlou (25'), Rafiei (33'), Karimi (34')