Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.