AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
3 - 0
AGMK

Camara (11'), Romarinho (15', 42' pen.)
Farhan (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Kasymov (88')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al Ittihad and AGMK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Okhdood 0-1 Al Ittihad
Thursday, September 14 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Arabi 0-1 AGMK
Tuesday, August 22 at 6.30pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for AGMK had a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for an AGMK win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAGMK
55.59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)19.81%
Both teams to score 46.69% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.72% (0.00099999999999767 0)54.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33% (0.0019999999999989 0)75.67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55%19.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
AGMK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.96%42.03% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.46% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 55.57%
    AGMK 19.81%
    Draw 24.6%
Al IttihadDrawAGMK
1-0 @ 13.38%
2-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.5%
3-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 5.18%
4-0 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 55.57%
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.09%
1-2 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 3.07%
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 19.81%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs AGMK

Al Ittihad
78.6%
Draw
21.4%
AGMK
0.0%
14