Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for AGMK had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for an AGMK win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.