Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Al Shamal had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for an Al Shamal win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.