Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.