Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Raed win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Raed win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.