Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Okhdood win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Okhdood win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 1-0 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Okhdood would win this match.