Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2023 at 4pm UK
King Abdullah Sport City Stadium

Al Raed
1 - 2
Al Fateh

El Berkaoui (69' pen.)
Normann (24'), Jovicevic (25'), Al-Jayzani (57'), Al-Beshe (62'), Al Doseri (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Buhumaid (28'), Tello (45+3')
Al-Mogren (30'), Al-Zubaidi (75'), Rinne (90+5')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Raed and Al Fateh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Hazem 4-3 Al Raed
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 4-1 Abha
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for an Al Raed win it was 2-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al Fateh in this match.

Result
Al RaedDrawAl Fateh
21.64% (0.198 0.2)22.18% (0.121 0.12)56.18% (-0.325 -0.33)
Both teams to score 56.93% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.99% (-0.305 -0.31)42.01% (0.3 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.58% (-0.308 -0.31)64.41% (0.30199999999999 0.3)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (0.012 0.01)33.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (0.015999999999998 0.02)69.78% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.19% (-0.211 -0.21)14.8% (0.205 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.92% (-0.399 -0.4)43.08% (0.393 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Al Raed 21.64%
    Al Fateh 56.18%
    Draw 22.18%
Al RaedDrawAl Fateh
2-1 @ 5.71% (0.041 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.42% (0.075 0.08)
2-0 @ 2.99% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.1% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.01%
3-0 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 21.64%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.066 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.058000000000002 0.06)
0-2 @ 8.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.71% (-0.047999999999999 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.01% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.73% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.66% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.04% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 56.18%