Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 57.28%. A win for Abha had a probability of 21.96% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 1-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Abha win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fateh would win this match.

Result
Al Fateh	Draw	Abha
57.28% ( 0.35)	20.76% ( -0.09)	21.96% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 62.51% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.1% (

0.1)

34.89% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.13% (

0.11)

56.87% (

-0.12)

Al Fateh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.87% (

0.13)

12.12% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.29% (

0.28)

37.7% (

-0.28)

Abha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.13% (

-0.17)

28.86% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.27% (

-0.21)

64.72% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Al Fateh 57.28%

Abha 21.96%

Draw 20.76%

Al Fateh	Draw	Abha
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.28%	1-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.76%	1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 21.96%