Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
0 - 0
Al Shabab


Al-Hurayji (29'), Jaissle (30'), Veiga (90+4'), Hindi (90+5')
FT

Saiss (47'), Santos (76'), Al-Sagour (90+5')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Shabab.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Damac 2-2 Al-Ahli
Thursday, November 9 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Raed 2-1 Al Shabab
Thursday, November 9 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Shabab
54.37% (0.175 0.17)22.68% (-0.058 -0.06)22.95% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 57.03% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (0.122 0.12)42.71% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.88% (0.123 0.12)65.11% (-0.126 -0.13)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (0.102 0.1)15.64% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.33% (0.191 0.19)44.67% (-0.194 -0.19)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)32.38% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)68.89% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 54.37%
    Al Shabab 22.95%
    Draw 22.67%
Al-AhliDrawAl Shabab
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.72% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.08% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 54.37%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 22.95%