Saudi Pro League Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2023 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
  • Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 1' goal
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 37' goal
  • Ibanez 84' goal
  • yellowcard Ibanez 32'
  • yellowcard Abdulbasit Hindi 45'+4'
  • goal Allan Saint-Maximin 58'
  • yellowcard Ali Al-Asmari 88'
  • yellowcard Franck Kessie 90'+1'

Al-Hilal vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 20, 2023 7.00pm
Al-Hilal 1 - 0 Al Khaleej
Goals scored
101
Top scorer
Aleksandar Mitrovic

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 7.00pm
Al-Ahli 3 - 1 Al Wahda
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Firas Albirakan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 17.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result

Al-Hilal 60.96% (+0.10)
Draw 21.31% (+0.31)
Al-Ahli 17.73% (-0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.15% (-1.84)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.19% (-2.04)
Under 2.5 43.81% (+2.04)
Over 3.5 33.8% (-2.03)
Under 3.5 66.2% (+2.03)
Over 4.5 17.38% (-1.52)
Under 4.5 82.62% (+1.51)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5 86.1% (-0.63)
Under 0.5 13.89% (+0.62)
Over 1.5 58.68% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 41.31% (+1.24)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 61.72% (-1.68)
Under 0.5 38.27% (+1.67)
Over 1.5 24.97% (-1.65)
Under 1.5 75.03% (+1.64)

Score analysis

Al-Hilal 60.95%
Draw 21.31%
Al-Ahli 17.73%
Al-Hilal
1-0 @ 10.49% (+0.68)
2-0 @ 10.35% (+0.45)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.81% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.16)
4-0 @ 3.36% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.23)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.15)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 60.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.08% (+0.22)
0-0 @ 5.32% (+0.46)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.23)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.31%
Al-Ahli
0-1 @ 5.11% (+0.23)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.15)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 17.73%

Head to Head

AFC Champions League
Aug 13, 2019 6.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Nasser Al Dawsari 89' yellowcard
  • Hattan Babhir 90' yellowcard
  • Bafetimbi Gomis 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mohammed Al Fatil 37'
  • goal Abdulfattah Asiri 42'
  • yellowcard Souza 55'
  • yellowcard Salman Muwashar 68'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Al Owais 93'
AFC Champions League
Aug 6, 2019 5.40pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Mohammed Al Khabrani 2' yellowcard
  • Omar Al Somah 6' goal
  • Djaniny 39' goal
  • Danijel Aleksic 45' yellowcard
  • Omar Al Somah 61' yellowcard
  • Souza 90' yellowcard
  • goal Bafetimbi Gomis 15'
  • yellowcard Ali Albulayhi 34'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Al Dosari 36'
  • goal Bafetimbi Gomis 48'
  • goal Bafetimbi Gomis 65'
  • goal Abdullah Al-Hafith 81'
  • yellowcard Abdullah Otayf 90'