AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Azadi Stadium

Nassaji Mazandaran
0 - 3
Al-Hilal


Mehdi Janmaleki (45+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mitrovic (18'), Neymar (58'), Al-Shehri (90+3')
Al-Faraj (38')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Nassaji Mazandaran and Al-Hilal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nassaji Mazandaran

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Last Game: Mumbai City 0-2 Nassaji Mazandaran
Monday, September 18 at 3pm in AFC Champions League
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Al-Hilal

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al Shabab
Friday, September 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 89.2%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Nassaji Mazandaran had a probability of 2.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 17.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (16.76%) and 0-1 (12.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (4.37%), while for a Nassaji Mazandaran win it was 1-0 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Nassaji MazandaranDrawAl-Hilal
2.09% (-0.35 -0.35)8.72% (-1.236 -1.24)89.2% (1.587 1.59)
Both teams to score 23.41% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.53% (3.572 3.57)39.47% (-3.571 -3.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.19% (3.631 3.63)61.81% (-3.63 -3.63)
Nassaji Mazandaran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
24.86% (-0.199 -0.2)75.14% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
3.38% (-0.057 -0.06)96.62% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.18% (1.041 1.04)5.82% (-1.041 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.63% (2.877 2.88)22.37% (-2.877 -2.88)
Score Analysis
    Nassaji Mazandaran 2.09%
    Al-Hilal 89.19%
    Draw 8.72%
Nassaji MazandaranDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 1.25% (-0.233 -0.23)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 2.09%
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.769 -0.77)
1-1 @ 3.55% (-0.42 -0.42)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 8.72%
0-2 @ 17.68% (-0.77 -0.77)
0-3 @ 16.76% (0.28 0.28)
0-1 @ 12.43% (-1.34 -1.34)
0-4 @ 11.92% (0.88 0.88)
0-5 @ 6.78% (0.864 0.86)
1-2 @ 5.05% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.41% (0.222 0.22)
0-6 @ 3.21% (0.572 0.57)
1-5 @ 1.94% (0.231 0.23)
0-7 @ 1.31% (0.295 0.3)
1-6 @ 0.92% (0.157 0.16)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 89.19%