Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Damac had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Damac win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.