Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2023 at 6pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Damac
2 - 2
Al-Ahli

Chafai (73'), Stanciu (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hindi (10'), Alnabit (44')
Kessie (38'), Ibanez (90+7'), Hindi (90+6')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Damac and Al-Ahli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Taawoun 0-0 Damac
Sunday, November 5 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-0 Al Riyadh
Sunday, November 5 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Damac had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Damac win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
DamacDrawAl-Ahli
35.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)26.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)38.24% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.46% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)51.13% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)72.98% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Damac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)27.65% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)63.2% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)26.1% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)61.16% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Damac 35.55%
    Al-Ahli 38.24%
    Draw 26.21%
DamacDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 9.28% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.55%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.24%