Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Firas Albirakan 2' goal
  • Gabri Veiga 26' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 52' goal

Al-Ahli vs Al Riyadh - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 27, 2023 7.00pm
Al-Hilal 3 - 1 Al-Ahli
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Firas Albirakan

Al Riyadh

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Oct 27, 2023 4.00pm
Al Tai 3 - 2 Al Riyadh
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Andre Gray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 13.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result

Al-Ahli 66.92% (-0.56)
Draw 19.62% (+0.16)
Al Riyadh 13.46% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.63% (+0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.32% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 44.68% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 32.96% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 67.04% (-0.23)
Over 4.5 16.77% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 83.23% (-0.17)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 87.58% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 12.41% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 61.68% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 38.32% (+0.19)

Al Riyadh Goals

Over 0.5 55.53% (+0.77)
Under 0.5 44.47% (-0.77)
Over 1.5 19.49% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 80.51% (-0.62)

Score analysis

Al-Ahli 66.9%
Draw 19.62%
Al Riyadh 13.46%
Al-Ahli
2-0 @ 12.01% (-0.21)
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 8.36% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 6.77% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.36% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% (+0.07)
5-0 @ 1.82% (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 66.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.33% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.94% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 19.62%
Al Riyadh
0-1 @ 4.47% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 3.78% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 1.81% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.07% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-96.08)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 13.46%