Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 13.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.