Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 7, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
1 - 2
Juventus

Maggiore (39')
Gyomber (19'), Maggiore (32'), Inzaghi (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Iling (65'), Vlahovic (90+1')
Gatti (43'), McKennie (69'), Rugani (73'), Vlahovic (90+2'), Rabiot (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 6-1 Salernitana
Thursday, January 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 6-1 Salernitana
Thursday, January 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Juventus
16.96% ( -0.24)	21.88% ( -0.28)	61.16% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 49.75% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.44% (

0.79)

47.56% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.24% (

0.72)

69.76% (

-0.72)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.57% (

0.17)

41.43% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.06% (

0.15)

77.94% (

-0.15)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.94% (

0.44)

15.06% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.43% (

0.82)

43.57% (

-0.81)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 16.96%

Juventus 61.16%

Draw 21.87%

Salernitana	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.96%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.87%	0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 11.18% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.06% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.22% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.35% Total : 61.16%