Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 16.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Juventus |
16.96% ( -0.24) | 21.88% ( -0.28) | 61.16% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 49.75% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.44% ( 0.79) | 47.56% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% ( 0.72) | 69.76% ( -0.72) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.57% ( 0.17) | 41.43% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.06% ( 0.15) | 77.94% ( -0.15) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.94% ( 0.44) | 15.06% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.43% ( 0.82) | 43.57% ( -0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.96% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.87% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 11.18% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.06% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.22% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.35% Total : 61.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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