Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Arechi
  • Filippo Inzaghi 33' yellowcard
  • Federico Fazio 42' goal
  • Grigoris Kastanos 44' yellowcard
  • Antonio Candreva 63' goal
  • Pasquale Mazzocchi 71' yellowcard
  • Norbert Gyomber 74' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Fiorillo 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Fikayo Tomori 17'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 35'
  • goal Luka Jovic 90'

Salernitana vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
Dec 18, 2023 7.45pm
Atalanta 4 - 1 Salernitana
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Antonio Candreva

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Dec 17, 2023 11.30am
AC Milan 3 - 0 Monza
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Olivier Giroud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Salernitana 29.6% (+0.05)
Draw 25.1% (-0.01)
AC Milan 45.3% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.08% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.87% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.12% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.71% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.29% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 14.47% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.52% (-0.03)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 69.96% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 30.03% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 33.84% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 66.16% (-0.06)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 78.73%
Under 0.5 21.27% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 45.81% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.19% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Salernitana 29.6%
Draw 25.1%
AC Milan 45.3%
Salernitana
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.15% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.62% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.54% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.1%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 9.89% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.95% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 45.3%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Olivier Giroud 45'+1' goal
  • goal Boulaye Dia 61'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2023 11.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Arechi
  • Federico Bonazzoli 83' goal
  • goal Rafael Leao 10'
  • goal Sandro Tonali 15'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Federico Bonazzoli 29' goal
  • Ederson 52' yellowcard
  • Milan Djuric 72' goal
  • Milan Djuric 72' yellowcard
  • goal Junior Messias 5'
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 35'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 60'
  • yellowcard Ante Rebic 70'
  • goal Ante Rebic 77'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 83'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Franck Kessie 5' goal
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 18' goal
  • Tiemoue Bakayoko 24' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francesco Di Tacchio 30'
  • yellowcard Milan Djuric 86'