Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
2 - 2
AC Milan

Fazio (42'), Candreva (63')
Inzaghi (33'), Kastanos (44'), Mazzocchi (71'), Gyomber (74')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Tomori (17'), Jovic (90')
Leao (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 4-1 Salernitana
Monday, December 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Monza
Sunday, December 17 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	AC Milan
29.6% ( 0.04)	25.1% ( -0.01)	45.3% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 55.08% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.87% (

0.04)

48.12% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.71% (

0.03)

70.29% (

-0.03)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.96% (

0.05)

30.03% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.84% (

0.05)

66.16% (

-0.05)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.73%

21.27% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.81% (

-0)

54.19% (

Score Analysis

Salernitana 29.6%

AC Milan 45.3%

Draw 25.1%

Salernitana	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 29.6%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 45.3%