Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.