Serie A
Gameweek
21
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-
Agustin Martegani
2'
-
Mateo Retegui
13'
-
Morten Frendrup
29'
-
Milan Badelj
45'+1'
-
Albert Gudmundsson
58'
-
Mattia Bani
60'
-
Alessandro Vogliacco
70'
-
Josep Martinez
90'+1'
Salernitana vs Genoa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result
Salernitana
30.41%
▼
(-0.12)
Draw
26.38%
▼
(-0.08)
Genoa
43.21%
▲
(+0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
51.46%
▲
(+0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.96%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 2.5
53.03%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 3.5
25.38%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 3.5
74.62%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 4.5
11.6%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 4.5
88.4%
▼
(-0.15)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5
68.03%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
31.97%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
31.58%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
68.42%
▼
(-0.06)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5
75.64%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
24.36%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
41.24%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
58.76%
▼
(-0.31)
Score analysis
Salernitana
30.41%
Draw
26.38%
Genoa
43.2%
Salernitana
1-0
@
8.88%
▼
(-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.41%
2-1 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.41%
Draw
1-1
@
12.54%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.38%
0-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.38%
Genoa
0-1
@
10.99%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 43.2%
1-2 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 43.2%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
10
-
Albert Gudmundsson
35'
-
Ruslan Malinovskyi
37'
-
Mattia Bani
42'
-
Koni De Winter
71'
-
Giulio Maggiore
37'
-
Domagoj Bradaric
39'
-
Norbert Gyomber
70'
-
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
86'
Serie A
Gameweek
25
-
Mattia Destro
32'
-
Stefano Sturaro
53'
-
Milan Badelj
60'
-
Nicolo Rovella
66'
-
Federico Bonazzoli
45'+1'
-
Pasquale Mazzocchi
63'
-
Radu Dragusin
75'
Coppa Italia
-
Pablo Galdames
21'
-
Johan Vasquez
32'
-
Caleb Ekuban
76'
-
Andrea Schiavone
11'
-
Stefano Colantuono
12'
-
Edoardo Vergani
45'+2'
-
Francesco Di Tacchio
57'
Serie A
Gameweek
7
-
Milan Djuric
66'
-
Norbert Gyomber
89'
-
Franck Ribery
90'+1'
-
Nikola Maksimovic
75'
-
Andrea Cambiaso
84'