Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Genoa |
| 48.99% ( | 27.92% ( | 23.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.45% ( | 62.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.86% ( | 82.14% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( | 25.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.25% ( | 60.75% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.6% ( | 43.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.37% ( | 79.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 15.16% ( 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 4-1 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 48.98% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0-0 @ 11.19% ( 2-2 @ 3.58% ( Other @ 0.48% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 2-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 1% Total : 23.09% |