Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Genoa |
46.95% ( -0) | 25.27% | 27.78% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.37% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.18% ( 0) | 49.82% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.18% ( 0) | 71.82% ( -0) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.77% ( -0) | 21.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.86% | 54.14% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% ( 0) | 32.24% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.26% ( 0) | 68.74% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.94% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.75% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |